ေရႊဝါေရာင္ေတာ္လွန္ေရးမွာ သန္းေရႊနဲ႔ ေမာင္ေအးက ပစ္မိန္႔ေပး

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ဝီကီလိခ္စ္ကေန ေပါက္ၾကားလာတဲ့ ျမန္မာ့အေရးဆိုင္ရာ အေမရိကန္ သံတမန္ေပးစာမွာ ၂၀၀၇ ေရႊဝါေရာင္ေတာ္လွန္ေရးကာလအေၾကာင္း ပါလာပါတယ္။

ေမတၱာသုတ္ရြတ္ၿပီး ၿငိမ္းခ်မ္းစြာ ဆႏၵျပတဲ့ ရဟန္းေတာ္မ်ားကို တပ္ခ်ဳပ္ႀကီး သန္းေရႊက ေသနတ္နဲ႔ ပစ္မိန္႔ေပးခဲ့တယ္လို႔ ဆိုပါတယ္။

စစ္ဘက္သတင္းေပးတဦးရဲ႕ အဆိုအရ တပ္ခ်ဳပ္ႀကီး သန္းေရႊနဲ႔ ဒု တပ္ခ်ဳပ္ ေမာင္ေအးတို႔က ဆႏၵျပရဟန္းေတာ္မ်ားကို ႏွိမ္နင္းဖို႔၊ လိုအပ္ရင္ ေသနတ္နဲ႔ပါပစ္ဖို႔ အမိန္႔ေပးတယ္လို႔ ေရးထားပါတယ္။

နံပတ္ ၃ ျဖစ္တဲ့ ဗိုလ္ခ်ဳပ္ႀကီး သူရေရႊမန္းကေတာ့ အဲဒီပစ္မိန္႔ ညႊန္ၾကားခ်က္ကို သူ႔အေနနဲ႔ လက္မခံႏိုင္ေပမယ့္ အေကာင္အထည္ေတာ့ ေဖာ္ခဲ့ပါတယ္တဲ့။ သက္ဆိုင္ရာ တပ္မႉးေတြကို ေသြးထြက္သံယို အနည္းဆံုး ျဖစ္ေအာင္ ေဆာင္ရြက္ၾကဖို႔ တိုးတိုးတိတ္တိတ္ မွာလိုက္ပါတယ္တဲ့။

ေရႊဝါေရာင္ ေတာ္လွန္ေရးမွာ စစ္တပ္က ပစ္ခတ္၊ ႐ိုက္ႏွက္၊ ဖမ္းဆီးႏွိပ္စက္လို႔ ေသဆံုး ဒဏ္ရာရသူ အတိအက်ကို မသိရပါဘူး။

ကုလသမဂၢ လူ႔အခြင့္အေရး ေကာင္စီရဲ႕ အထူးကိုယ္စားလွယ္ ေပၚလို ဆာဂ်ီယို ပင္ေဟး႐ိုးကေတာ့ ရဟန္းသံဃာ အပါး ၃၀ ကေန ၄၀၊ လူ ၅၀ ကေန ၇၀ အထိ ေသဆံုးၿပီး လူ ၂၀၀ ေလာက္ ႐ိုက္ႏွက္ခံရတယ္လို႔ တင္ျပထားပါတယ္။

ဝီကီလိခ္စ္ စာအျပည့္အစံုကို ေအာက္မွာ ေဖာ္ျပလိုက္ပါတယ္။

C O N F I D E N T I A L SECTION 01 OF 02 RANGOON 001148
According to [TEXT REMOVED BY AFTENPOSTEN]´s military contacts, both Than Shwe and Maung Aye gave the orders to crackdown on the monks, including shooting them if necessary. Number three General Thura Shwe Man personally opposed the order, but carried it out, quietly advising regional commanders to do so with minimal bloodshed.
28.11.2007: BURMA: THE DIALOGUE IS DEAD
Publisert: 04.02.11 kl. 19:22
C O N F I D E N T I A L SECTION 01 OF 02 RANGOON 001148
SIPDIS
DEPT FOR EAP/MLS, DRL, AND IO
PACOM FOR FPA
E.O. 12958: DECL: 10/28/2017
TAGS: PGOV, PREL, PHUM, BM
SUBJECT: BURMA: THE DIALOGUE IS DEAD
REF: A. RANGOON 48
B. RANGOON 1119
Classified By: P/E Chief Leslie Hayden for Reasons 1.4 (b) & (d)
1. (C) Summary: PM Thein Sein told an Embassy contact that Than Shwe had dispatched him to ASEAN with two objectives: to cancel Gambari´s briefing during the Summit, and to undermine support for U.S. sanctions on Burma. Thein Sein said Than Shwe had ordered him to walk out of the Summit if ASEAN leaders refused to cancel Gambari´s briefing. Thein Sein also revealed that the Senior General is singularly focused on removing U.S. sanctions and has no plans to engage in a genuine dialogue with Aung San Suu Kyi. Our contact believes Than Shwe feels the pressure of U.S. sanctions and recommends we exploit emerging differences within the top levels of the regime by tightening the sanctions against Than Shwe and other senior generals. Gambari has no visa for a follow-up visit to Burma, reportedly due to regime pique at him for issuing Aung San Suu Kyi´s statement, about which they claim Gambari failed to inform them in advance. End summary.

2. (C) Embassy contact [TEXT REMOVED BY AFTENPOSTEN], who has close ties to high-level members of Burma´s military regime (Ref A), told pol/econ chief that he had met Prime Minister Thein Sein [TEXT REMOVED BY AFTENPOSTEN]. Thein Sein told [TEXT REMOVED BY AFTENPOSTEN] that Than Shwe had dispatched him to ASEAN with two objectives: to cancel Gambari´s briefing during the Summit, and to undermine support for U.S. Sanctions on Burma. Thein Sein said Than Shwe had ordered him to walk out of the Summit if ASEAN leaders refused to cancel Gambari´s briefing. Note: reporting in other channels corroborates this account, end note. Thein Sein said Than Shwe is singularly focused on U.S. sanctions, and is well aware of how difficult they would be to lift. Nor does Than Shwe have any plans to engage in a genuine dialogue with Aung San Suu Kyi.
3. (C) [TEXT REMOVED BY AFTENPOSTEN] pronounced the dialogue “dead.” He said that many of the regional commanders he knows, as well as lower-level military officials, were pleased with the content of Aung San Suu Kyi´s statement that Gambari released on her behalf. However, as soon as Than Shwe dispatched his hard-line Minister of Culture to demand the ethnic cease-fire groups disavow Aung San Suu Kyi as their representative (Ref B), they realized Than Shwe had no intention of engaging in a serious dialogue with the opposition. [TEXT REMOVED BY AFTENPOSTEN] considers Than Shwe and Maung Aye to be a lost cause, but he sees growing daylight between the top two leaders and the regime´s second tier commanders. According to [TEXT REMOVED BY AFTENPOSTEN]´s military contacts, both Than Shwe and Maung Aye gave the orders to crackdown on the monks, including shooting them if necessary. Number three General Thura Shwe Man personally opposed the order, but carried it out, quietly advising regional commanders to do so with minimal bloodshed.
4. (C) [TEXT REMOVED BY AFTENPOSTEN] told us that Than Shwe felt the pressure of U.S. sanctions and recommended the U.S. exploit the emerging differences within the top levels of the regime by tightening our sanctions against the senior generals. Than Shwe has done nothing to reward, he stated. [TEXT REMOVED BY AFTENPOSTEN] also urged us to continue vocally advocating the need for any upcoming referendums or elections to be free and fair.
5. (C) In a separate conversation with the Charge d´Affaires, outgoing UN Resident Coordinator Charles Petrie said the regime has not been cooperative in arranging Gambari´s next visit, and has yet to issue him another visa. The generals now complain that Gambari had not informed them in advance that he would be issuing a statement on behalf of Aung San Suu Kyi, even though Gambari had informed GOB officials of this intention at meetings during his last visit to Burma. For this reason, Gambari had accepted the tight restrictions on his schedule. Without the statement, Gambariunderstood he would have failed, according to Petrie.
6. (U) Arrests in Rangoon continue, two 88 Generation Students members, Myat Sann and Win Maw, were reportedly arrested yesterday evening. Both were trying to rebuild the leadership of 88 Generation since its main leaders were arrested last August. We also confirmed reports that the few monks remaining at Maggin Monastery were ordered to leave and that the facility would be sealed. Before the crackdown, Maggin Monastery had sheltered Phyu Phyu Thinn´s homeless HIV/AIDS patients. The monastery has a reputation for being a gathering point for the pro-democracy opposition.
7. (C) Comment: Within the next few months it will become clear that Than Shwe´s “dialogue” is a farce. He will string the UN along by allowing Aung San Suu Kyi to meet with his powerless Minister of Relations and Gambari, and point to this empty process as a concession worthy of reward. Clearly our sanctions grate but Than Shwe does not seem to realize that smoke and mirrors will not suffice to make them go away. The rest of the international community will shortly realize that the long hoped for dialogue is going nowhere: Aung San Suu Kyi is still held incommunicado; arrests are continuing; and Gambari is not as welcome as he claimed earlier this month.
8. (C) Pinheiro´s report on December 11 will likely reinforce the conclusion that the regime remains resistant to dialogue. We might use that opportunity to announce new sanctions targeting Than Shwe, Maung Aye, and their crony financiers. At that time we should state categorically that the sanctions will not be lifted until we see concrete progress towards national reconciliation, citing specific objectives such as all political prisoners free; restrictions on freedom of speech and assembly lifted; and a broadly representative group of Burmese discussing the way forward that will lead to a free and fair referendum and elections.
9. (C) Than Shwe has a clearly reasonable way out working with the UN. However, should he continue to defy the UN´s good offices, his few defenders will at least distance themselves from him, which may increase the odds that less hard-line members of the military decide it is finally time for him to go. End comment.
VILLAROSA